Posts by Leonardo Drago
Bitcoin Bubble Deja Vu
My monthly column started in Jan 2018 with the inaugural topic on how Bitcoin was one of history’s biggest bubbles. A year later bitcoin lost 85% of its value and stayed low for a couple of years
Read MoreThe Death of Alpha
The entire purpose of asset management is to create alpha. Active asset management started some 70 years ago, and has grown significantly in that time
Read MoreHEDGING VS. TIMING THE MARKETS: HOW TO POSITION FOR 2021
There’s no free lunch in investing: lower volatility in a portfolio must come with proportionately lower returns
Read MoreMarkets Will be Volatile, Except when Everyone Expects It
Seasoned traders know that when everyone expects a ‘near-certain’ outcome, and prepares their investment portfolio for it, the opposite tends to happen
Read MoreIs Big Tech a Bubble?
A long standing doctrine in successful investing was to buy stocks that were trading cheaply based on an objective measuring method (price vs. book value / earnings / sales)…
Read MoreWhat Impact will US Elections Have on the Stock Market?
Global stock market performance from here to the end of the year will be heavily influenced by the US elections in November
Read MoreThe Role of Gold In a Portfolio
Gold has gained 66% in the last two years and just hit a new all-time high of $2075 last week, before pulling back sharply by over $200 in four days
Read MoreThe Second Wave Is Here
The much feared second wave of virus infections has arrived. Many have been worrying about such an event which may follow the 1918 Spanish Flu, causing a higher death toll
Read MoreThe disconnect between stock prices and the economy
Data shows that not only do stocks not follow changes in GDP, it’s actually GDP that follows changes in stock prices
Read MoreSuperforecasters: Wisdom of crowds versus trading on emotions
There are facts, informed extrapolations from analogies to other viruses, and with so much unknowns, most comments are just opinion or pure speculation
Read More